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China's Growth Hits Six-year High
 
China's economy grew at its fastest pace for six years in 2003, adding 9.1% to gross domestic product, with both industrial production and disposable income showing sharp increases, official statistics have shown. The growth rate in the final three months of last year was even more rapid, up 9.9%.

China's strong performance was due to growth in trade, foreign investment, and consumer spending. Chinese officials are predicting a cautious 7% growth in 2004, a figure most economists expect to be beaten.

SARS Pain Gone
China's performance makes it the fastest growing among the world's major economies, outpacing the United States and far ahead of sluggish Japan. It also shows that growth in the world's sixth biggest economy was not thrown off track by the Sars outbreak last Spring.

"There are signs of overheating in some regions and areas," said Li Deshui, director of China's National Statistics Bureau. But he added, "There is no need to slam on the brakes."

China's Industrial Production Jumped 17% in 2003
The picture in manufacturing is not all rosy, however, since output from inefficient state-run firms being bankrolled by the state to avoid too-rapid job cuts and instability is causing fears about the strength of China's banks.
 
Domestic spending power is growing
Foreign investment has soared since China opened its markets to join the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 2002 as manufacturers have piled into the country in hope of tapping its potentially huge consumer market, as well as its mix of cheap skilled and unskilled labour.

Retail sales rose 9.1% in 2003, while disposable income rose 9.3% in urban areas and 4.3% in the countryside. Overall growth in 2003 was better than 8.5%, the figure predicted by the head of the state tax office last week.

The statistics bureau said growth in the July to September period of 2003 was 9.6%, not 9.1% as originally thought.

China has made strenuous efforts in recent years to improve the way it collects and compiles economic data to satisfy international standards, though some economists remain sceptical about Chinese data.

(Source: bbc.co.uk)

    

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